With less than a year to go until the 2022 midterm election, a new poll has found Democrats and Republicans tied for supporting Americans.
The Economist/ A YouGov survey released on Wednesday found that both parties were stuck at 40% support among adult Americans when asked which congressional candidate they would support if an election was held today.
Only 13% of those polled said they were unsure whether they would support a Democratic or Republican candidate to represent them on Capitol Hill, while 2% said they would vote for a different candidate. Five percent of those polled said they would not vote at all.
The results come after a major red wave in the 2021 election. Republicans swept high Virginia officials, including the governor and attorney general, just one year after President Joe Biden won the state in double digits .
The GOP also made gains in local races in New York, New Jersey and Pennsylvania. One of the most shocking upheavals in the electoral cycle took place in New Jersey, where Republican Edward Durr defeated longtime Democratic Senator Stephen Sweeney. Durr is a furniture truck driver who only spent a few thousand dollars on the ride.
Following the party’s strong performance in the Nov. 2 contests, bookies said the odds of Republicans gaining control of Congress have improved.
The last The Economist/The YouGov poll showed that the GOP has also improved its standing among American adults. Earlier this month, the Democrats held a 7-point advantage over the Republican candidates in a generic clash in Congress.
Democrats currently enjoy majority control of the House of Representatives and Senate, but with narrow margins. A historic precedent is on the side of the Republican Party ahead of next year’s races, as the midterm elections tend to be a referendum on the party in charge.
The 2022 stalemate also comes as Biden poll numbers drop amid a further rise in coronavirus cases and rising inflation.
Only 41 percent of Americans said they approved of the job he was doing as commander-in-chief, while 49 percent disapproved. Thirty-eight percent of those polled said they “strongly disapproved” of the manner in which he had discharged his responsibilities as president.
Biden referred to his declining approval numbers last month, saying he is “not showing up because of the polls.”
âThe polls are going to go up and down,â Biden said at a press conference during an international trip to Rome. âThey were high at first, then they got medium, then they went up, now they’re low. Well, look, look at all the other presidents. The same thing happened.â
New The Economist/ YouGov surveyed 1,500 Americans between November 20 and 23. The survey’s margin of error is plus or minus 3 percentage points.